It’s been over a month since the OH/TX/VT/RI primaries. Over a month… and we’re still roughly two weeks away from “the super-de-duper important” April 22nd primary in PA. UGGH. (Note: I feel like it’s been over a month since anything lively happened on this blog, save for Kerry keeping us afloat with stories about DC’s satanic leprechauns. Seriously, its a funny post. Go read it.)

So it’s been a month. We’ve lived through a month of economic turbulence. We’ve fully unearthed racial politics in the last month. And we may be (ahem, the media may be…) finally reaching the conclusion that the Democratic primary is just about over. “Over?” you say. “But Hill’s still got a chance!!!” Uhhh, not so much. That’s articulated well right here.

A couple days after last month’s big round of voting, I discussed three key points of focus. Let’s see if anything has changed…

“Point 1 - Obama won Texas.”

Yep. Even more true now (uhh, if that’s possible…), and will be certified soon enough. A month after the fact, this doesn’t matter a whole let, except that it puts the story back in the news cycle positively for Obama. This, after his stellar speech on race, helped him fully regain his frontrunner stature in national polls and cut into Clinton’s lead in PA.

“Point 2 - Michigan and Florida are trying like hell to get their delegates seated, preferably by re-vote.”

They sure tried… and they sure failed. Dean and the DNC are contemplating ways to still seat the delegation, but without re-voting. There are other ideas still floating around, but it looks like these two states will not have a meaningful effect (read: won’t tip the scales back to Clinton) on the race.

“Point 3 - Obama’s starting to strike back.”

At that point, we saw the first inklings of a fiercer Obama campaign. They were hampered by the Wright kerfuffle, but have since jumped back on board to playing a bit more offense, recently focusing on Colombia. Obama has also used the last month to ratchet up necessary attacks on Sen. McCain.

When I originally wrote this piece, I said that the first two points work (or will work) in Obama’s favor. They did. The third point raised some flags, as I wondered how going negative might affect his luster. Turns out, coordinated negative attacks weren’t what he should be worried about. It’s his surrogates that need tending too. Let’s also not forget that the Clinton campaign is working really hard on imploding at this time as well.

Two more weeks until more people vote. Oy, wonder how much things will have changed by then…